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20-40s
at highest risk of bird flu
London:
The UK Government's top medical adviser Sir Liam Donaldson
has warned that adults aged 20 to 40 are the most at risk
of contracting the deadly bird flu virus. Emphasising that
a similar flu hit exactly the same group almost 100 years
ago, Donaldson cautioned that the bug could strike more than
once, and the second wave could be even more lethal infecting
one in two people and claiming more than 700,000 lives. Launching
the Government's updated bird flu contingency plan, he said
the arrival of the bug, was 'inevitable', though no one knows
when it will strike or how it will act. "We cannot determine
in advance what the risk groups are going to be. They are
more likely to be the usual groups but it is just possible
it could have its own signature like Spanish flu and disproportionately
affect another age group," the Daily Mail quoted Donaldson
as saying. Donaldson said that the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic,
which killed 50 million worldwide 'selectively targeted' 20
to 40 year olds. "The evidence from the past is that we won't
just have one wave of infection, we will have subsequent waves
as well, which may be as intense or even more intense than
the initial wave. It is a very, very transmissible disease
and will come in from all points. We cannot be sure what the
levels of death are," he said. Vaccinating the very old and
the very young first could leave the middle-aged vulnerable
to infection. It is also possible the elderly may have been
exposed to a similar bug in the past and so have some immunity
to the new virus, leaving younger adults more vulnerable.
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