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Georgia in for another recount if Trump does not concede election to Biden in two days

As per the electoral rules in Georgia, there will be an audit or recount of one of the races in every general election. The option has been given to the Secretary of State to decide which race is to be recounted and how, ie, hand count or machine recount. Brad Raffensperger chose the presidential voting as he argued that the margin is narrowest here and the method he chose as hand recount as, in his own words, "This (hand count) will build confidence." Trump can demand another recount if Biden's margin in certification continues to be below 0.5%. But Georgia will no more have any impact with the latest results coming in! Yet if he asks for it at this stage, it is signal for a bloody battle indeed!

NEW DELHI, Nov 16: In the US, there is no Federal 'election commission'. The States conduct the polls and count the votes and certify the results. And every State has its own rules. Under Georgia's electoral rules, there could be yet another recount of votes cast in the presidential elections on November 3, other than the ongoing hand recount.

Because the clause that allows this second recount will most probably not go waste as a defeated Republican candidate, President Donald Trump, and his party, that has not conceded defeat, will not necessarily be placated by the new result of hand recount which is likely to remain unchanged. For Trump "the election is not over" and he has not conceded till date although all other States' results are out and Georgia is not going to have any impact on Biden's victory. He has crossed 300 electoral votes (majority mark 270).

That is, the margin will remain below 0.5% at the time of certification which may be by next Wednesday. The rule says that if the margin remains below 0.5% in certification, the losing party can ask for a recount but within a couple of days. Of course, this time it will be machine count and quick.

What is currently going on is not a recount asked for by Trump (he can ask for a recount after certification only) but a mandatory procedure built into the electoral process in Georgia by which votes in any one of the races in a general election needs to be audited or recounted. That is to say, there will be an audit in every general election.

It has been given to the Secretary of State's discretion to decide which race to be counted and how. He opted for the presidential because the yardstick of narrow margin suited here best although the recount here involves maximum number of votes that takes very long time. He was free to opt another race, say of the Senate votes, where margins are less narrow, and go for a sample auditing. Moreover, he decided upon a hand count which will take several days. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger had said, "This (handcount) will build confidence."

The ongoing recount is the largest hand recount in US history that began on Friday morning. Each county is reponsible for the counting of the votes cast by the voters in its jurisdiction, including deployment of staff, for counting every paper ballot and cross-checking against the machine totals.

From their experience, experts of electoral processes like former Secretary of State Lera Catharine “Cathy” Cox discount any major variation in recounting that can flip the initial result. However, there could be minor variations. Why there should be minor variations? When variations can occur, it can occur on larger scale too? The computer programming is such that if the oval space on the ballot for marking is marked enough to cover 10% space then only the vote is valid and counted. In hand recount, the less filling ballots also come under human scrutiny. This explains any variance.

A total of 5 million votes are being hand counted in the State currently. Joe Biden's lead here sits around 14,000 or around 0.3%, below the 0.5% limit for a another recount call by losing party after certification.

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